Where will the physician shortage be the most dire?

Growth in physician demand is expected to be the highest in the South and West by 2036, according to a recent report from the Association of American Medical Colleges.

This year's "Complexities of Physician Supply and Demand: Projections From 2021 to 2036" report, published March 21, determines demand as the number of physicians required to provide an average level of care.

Here is physician demand and demand growth by census region:

Primary care:

Northeast:

2021 demand: 45,900

Expected demand growth from 2021-2026: 3,400

Midwest:

2021 demand: 5,400

Expected demand growth from 2021-2026: 3,800

South:

2021 demand: 96,800

Expected demand growth from 2021-2026: 17,000

West

2021 demand: 58,400

Expected demand growth from 2021-2026: 10,900

Non-primary care physicians:

Northeast:

2021 demand: 115,400

Expected demand growth from 2021-2026: 6,900

Midwest:

2021 demand: 138,300

Expected demand growth from 2021-2026: 9,300

South:

2021 demand: 244,500

Expected demand growth from 2021-2026: 38,800

West

2021 demand: 137,700

Expected demand growth from 2021-2026: 25,300

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